Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered rain or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. These factors keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C outcomes and modest probability for 30°C or higher. Historical September averages place typical lows at 24°C, with rare drops below 22°C requiring stronger northerly flow or clear skies absent in current guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の広州の最低気温は？
9月14日の広州の最低気温は？
22℃ 40%
23°C 40%
27℃ 40%
30℃以上 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
20°C以下
14%
21°C
18%
22℃
40%
23°C
40%
24℃
22%
25°C
28%
26℃
27%
27℃
40%
28℃
18%
29℃
18%
30℃以上
32%
22℃ 40%
23°C 40%
27℃ 40%
30℃以上 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
20°C以下
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22℃
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24℃
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$21 Vol.
28%
26℃
$0 Vol.
27%
27℃
$17 Vol.
40%
28℃
$0 Vol.
18%
29℃
$0 Vol.
18%
30℃以上
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered rain or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. These factors keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C outcomes and modest probability for 30°C or higher. Historical September averages place typical lows at 24°C, with rare drops below 22°C requiring stronger northerly flow or clear skies absent in current guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$38終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered rain or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. These factors keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C outcomes and modest probability for 30°C or higher. Historical September averages place typical lows at 24°C, with rare drops below 22°C requiring stronger northerly flow or clear skies absent in current guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and scattered rain or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under subtropical conditions. These factors keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C outcomes and modest probability for 30°C or higher. Historical September averages place typical lows at 24°C, with rare drops below 22°C requiring stronger northerly flow or clear skies absent in current guidance. Updated ensemble runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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