Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for 33°C. Equatorial solar insolation combined with typical September humidity and light southerly winds supports daytime maxima in this range, while scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may limit further warming. Historical September averages hover around 31–32°C, with no strong ENSO or regional pressure anomalies currently shifting the pattern. Updated model runs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のクアラルンプールの最高気温は?
33℃ 58%
34℃ 34%
32℃ 13%
31°C 10%
29°C以下
4%
30℃
4%
31°C
10%
32℃
13%
33℃
55%
34℃
28%
35℃
4%
36°C
2%
37℃
1%
38°C
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
33℃ 58%
34℃ 34%
32℃ 13%
31°C 10%
29°C以下
4%
30℃
4%
31°C
10%
32℃
13%
33℃
55%
34℃
28%
35℃
4%
36°C
2%
37℃
1%
38°C
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for 33°C. Equatorial solar insolation combined with typical September humidity and light southerly winds supports daytime maxima in this range, while scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may limit further warming. Historical September averages hover around 31–32°C, with no strong ENSO or regional pressure anomalies currently shifting the pattern. Updated model runs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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