Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies, light southerly winds shifting northeast, and a maximum temperature near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 14, consistent with climatological norms of 26–27°C for mid-month. Low precipitation chances and stable high pressure support this range, with minimal model spread noted in the latest runs. Trader-implied odds favoring 31°C or higher at 49% reflect uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the potential for warmer anomalies if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify, while the cluster around 27–30°C captures baseline expectations. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の北京の最高気温は？
9月14日の北京の最高気温は？
28℃ 41%
27℃ 31%
31℃以上 16%
26℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
21℃以下
4%
22℃
4%
23℃
4%
24℃
4%
25°C
8%
26℃
14%
27℃
31%
28℃
34%
29℃
8%
30℃
9%
31℃以上
16%
28℃ 41%
27℃ 31%
31℃以上 16%
26℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
22℃
$0 Vol.
4%
23℃
$0 Vol.
4%
24℃
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26℃
$0 Vol.
14%
27℃
$0 Vol.
31%
28℃
$10 Vol.
34%
29℃
$41 Vol.
8%
30℃
$0 Vol.
9%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies, light southerly winds shifting northeast, and a maximum temperature near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 14, consistent with climatological norms of 26–27°C for mid-month. Low precipitation chances and stable high pressure support this range, with minimal model spread noted in the latest runs. Trader-implied odds favoring 31°C or higher at 49% reflect uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the potential for warmer anomalies if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify, while the cluster around 27–30°C captures baseline expectations. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$52終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies, light southerly winds shifting northeast, and a maximum temperature near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 14, consistent with climatological norms of 26–27°C for mid-month. Low precipitation chances and stable high pressure support this range, with minimal model spread noted in the latest runs. Trader-implied odds favoring 31°C or higher at 49% reflect uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the potential for warmer anomalies if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify, while the cluster around 27–30°C captures baseline expectations. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$52終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies, light southerly winds shifting northeast, and a maximum temperature near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 14, consistent with climatological norms of 26–27°C for mid-month. Low precipitation chances and stable high pressure support this range, with minimal model spread noted in the latest runs. Trader-implied odds favoring 31°C or higher at 49% reflect uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the potential for warmer anomalies if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify, while the cluster around 27–30°C captures baseline expectations. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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