Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 66–68°F for Seattle on September 11, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds and southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating below the late-summer average of roughly 72°F. This setup follows a pattern of cooler, cloudier conditions after early-September warmth, with light winds and high humidity keeping maximum temperatures in the upper 60s rather than allowing stronger solar warming. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration on 66–69°F bins while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers absent any rapid model shift. Updated runs ahead of the daily maximum will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のシアトルの最高気温は?
66~67°F 42%
68-69°F 31%
64~65°F 15%
70〜71°F 8%
57°F以下
<1%
58~59°F
1%
60〜61°F
1%
62~63°F
3%
64~65°F
15%
66~67°F
42%
68-69°F
31%
70〜71°F
8%
72~73°F
3%
74〜75°F
1%
76°F以上
<1%
66~67°F 42%
68-69°F 31%
64~65°F 15%
70〜71°F 8%
57°F以下
<1%
58~59°F
1%
60〜61°F
1%
62~63°F
3%
64~65°F
15%
66~67°F
42%
68-69°F
31%
70〜71°F
8%
72~73°F
3%
74〜75°F
1%
76°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 66–68°F for Seattle on September 11, driven by persistent marine-layer clouds and southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating below the late-summer average of roughly 72°F. This setup follows a pattern of cooler, cloudier conditions after early-September warmth, with light winds and high humidity keeping maximum temperatures in the upper 60s rather than allowing stronger solar warming. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration on 66–69°F bins while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers absent any rapid model shift. Updated runs ahead of the daily maximum will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問