Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月10日のマニラの最高気温は？
30°C 83%
31℃ 14%
32℃ 4%
29℃ <1%
新規
$23,210 Vol.
新規
$23,210 Vol.
2026/09/10
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
1%
30°C
83%
31℃
14%
32℃
4%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
<1%
30°C 83%
31℃ 14%
32℃ 4%
29℃ <1%
新規
$23,210 Vol.
新規
$23,210 Vol.
2026/09/10
24℃以下
$566 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$1,595 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,928 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$5,419 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,583 Vol.
83%
31℃
$3,690 Vol.
14%
32℃
$2,344 Vol.
4%
33℃
$708 Vol.
1%
34℃以上
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$23,210終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,210終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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