Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
25℃ 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18℃ <1%
$28,225 Vol.
$28,225 Vol.
16℃以下
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
はい
26℃以上
いいえ
25℃ 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18℃ <1%
$28,225 Vol.
$28,225 Vol.
16℃以下
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
はい
26℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問