Recent forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international models indicate a daytime high in Mexico City likely peaking near 25°C on September 13, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and a subtropical highland climate where elevation moderates extremes. Historical September averages of 23–24°C highs provide context, yet current observations showing afternoon readings approaching 24–25°C with scattered showers and 50–80% humidity support the market-implied 53.5% probability on 25°C over nearby outcomes. Model consensus remains tight within a 23–26°C range, though afternoon convection could cap further warming, while official station data from MMMX will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
25℃ 53%
24℃ 22%
26°C 15%
23℃ 5.6%
$12,103 Vol.
$12,103 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
6%
24℃
22%
25℃
53%
26°C
15%
27°C以上
2%
25℃ 53%
24℃ 22%
26°C 15%
23℃ 5.6%
$12,103 Vol.
$12,103 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
6%
24℃
22%
25℃
53%
26°C
15%
27°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international models indicate a daytime high in Mexico City likely peaking near 25°C on September 13, driven by moderate insolation under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and a subtropical highland climate where elevation moderates extremes. Historical September averages of 23–24°C highs provide context, yet current observations showing afternoon readings approaching 24–25°C with scattered showers and 50–80% humidity support the market-implied 53.5% probability on 25°C over nearby outcomes. Model consensus remains tight within a 23–26°C range, though afternoon convection could cap further warming, while official station data from MMMX will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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