Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Houston on September 15, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and persistent southeast flow off the Gulf that limits nocturnal cooling and maintains high dew points near 75°F. This pattern has produced above-normal minimum temperatures across the past week, with heat indices exceeding 105°F during the day and little evidence of an approaching frontal boundary that could drop readings toward the historical mid-September average of 72–73°F. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-72°F and 90°F-plus outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by several degrees, while the 76–79°F range carries the next-highest implied probability as the most consistent model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のヒューストンの最低気温は?
71°F以下 98%
華氏90度以上 97%
78~79°F 44%
72~73°F 39%
71°F以下
98%
72~73°F
39%
74〜75°F
39%
76〜77°F
20%
78~79°F
25%
80〜81°F
21%
82~83°F
39%
84〜85°F
39%
86〜87°F
39%
88〜89°F
39%
華氏90度以上
97%
71°F以下 98%
華氏90度以上 97%
78~79°F 44%
72~73°F 39%
71°F以下
98%
72~73°F
39%
74〜75°F
39%
76〜77°F
20%
78~79°F
25%
80〜81°F
21%
82~83°F
39%
84〜85°F
39%
86〜87°F
39%
88〜89°F
39%
華氏90度以上
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Houston on September 15, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and persistent southeast flow off the Gulf that limits nocturnal cooling and maintains high dew points near 75°F. This pattern has produced above-normal minimum temperatures across the past week, with heat indices exceeding 105°F during the day and little evidence of an approaching frontal boundary that could drop readings toward the historical mid-September average of 72–73°F. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-72°F and 90°F-plus outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by several degrees, while the 76–79°F range carries the next-highest implied probability as the most consistent model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問