Recent forecast models and observational data from meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on September 15, 2026, driven by moderate southeasterly flow, high humidity near 75%, and partly cloudy conditions allowing sufficient solar heating despite light rain chances. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C, with historical peaks on the date up to 35.6°C in prior years. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 35°C reflects tight model agreement on afternoon temperatures, though realistic deviations could arise from stronger convective activity or thicker cloud cover suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, or clearer skies enabling a brief exceedance. Updated observations from official stations will confirm resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の広州の最高気温は？
9月15日の広州の最高気温は？
35℃ 100.0%
27℃以下 <1%
28℃ <1%
29°C <1%
$39,322 Vol.
$39,322 Vol.
2026/09/15
27℃以下
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34°C
いいえ
35℃
はい
36℃
いいえ
37℃以上
いいえ
35℃ 100.0%
27℃以下 <1%
28℃ <1%
29°C <1%
$39,322 Vol.
$39,322 Vol.
2026/09/15
27℃以下
$382 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$360 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$614 Vol.
いいえ
30°C
$1,037 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$1,751 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$2,734 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$3,845 Vol.
いいえ
34°C
$3,785 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$8,473 Vol.
はい
36℃
$13,305 Vol.
いいえ
37℃以上
$3,037 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational data from meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on September 15, 2026, driven by moderate southeasterly flow, high humidity near 75%, and partly cloudy conditions allowing sufficient solar heating despite light rain chances. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C, with historical peaks on the date up to 35.6°C in prior years. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 35°C reflects tight model agreement on afternoon temperatures, though realistic deviations could arise from stronger convective activity or thicker cloud cover suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, or clearer skies enabling a brief exceedance. Updated observations from official stations will confirm resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
音量
$39,322終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational data from meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on September 15, 2026, driven by moderate southeasterly flow, high humidity near 75%, and partly cloudy conditions allowing sufficient solar heating despite light rain chances. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C, with historical peaks on the date up to 35.6°C in prior years. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 35°C reflects tight model agreement on afternoon temperatures, though realistic deviations could arise from stronger convective activity or thicker cloud cover suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, or clearer skies enabling a brief exceedance. Updated observations from official stations will confirm resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$39,322終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecast models and observational data from meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on September 15, 2026, driven by moderate southeasterly flow, high humidity near 75%, and partly cloudy conditions allowing sufficient solar heating despite light rain chances. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C, with historical peaks on the date up to 35.6°C in prior years. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 35°C reflects tight model agreement on afternoon temperatures, though realistic deviations could arise from stronger convective activity or thicker cloud cover suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, or clearer skies enabling a brief exceedance. Updated observations from official stations will confirm resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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