Recent official forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and minimal precipitation for Karachi on September 18, supporting daytime highs near the long-term September average of 32–33°C. This positions 34°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C at 23.5%, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming potential from current partly cloudy conditions and typical late-monsoon humidity levels that can elevate heat indices without pushing extremes. Low rain chances and stable steering patterns limit upward spikes, while model agreement on peak afternoon readings around 32–34°C underpins the tight clustering of leading outcomes. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のカラチの最高気温は?
34℃ 56%
35℃ 24%
33℃ 16%
32℃ 3%
28℃以下
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
1%
32℃
3%
33℃
16%
34℃
56%
35℃
24%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38℃以上
<1%
34℃ 56%
35℃ 24%
33℃ 16%
32℃ 3%
28℃以下
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
1%
32℃
3%
33℃
16%
34℃
56%
35℃
24%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and minimal precipitation for Karachi on September 18, supporting daytime highs near the long-term September average of 32–33°C. This positions 34°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C at 23.5%, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming potential from current partly cloudy conditions and typical late-monsoon humidity levels that can elevate heat indices without pushing extremes. Low rain chances and stable steering patterns limit upward spikes, while model agreement on peak afternoon readings around 32–34°C underpins the tight clustering of leading outcomes. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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