Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a Friday night low near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 8–10 mph, favoring radiative cooling after a 22°C daytime high. This places the implied probability for a 14°C low at 45.5% as the consensus outcome, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when high pressure promotes clear nocturnal conditions. The 27% chance assigned to 8°C or below reflects limited downside risk from stronger cooling or model shifts, while probabilities for 16°C+ capture upside uncertainty if cloud cover or wind patterns moderate overnight temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月18日のトロントの最低気温は？
8°C以下 54%
18℃以上 54%
14℃ 45%
13℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
8°C以下
54%
9°C
38%
10℃
38%
11℃
38%
12℃
38%
13℃
40%
14℃
45%
15°C
21%
16℃
21%
17℃
39%
18℃以上
54%
8°C以下 54%
18℃以上 54%
14℃ 45%
13℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
54%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10℃
$0 Vol.
38%
11℃
$0 Vol.
38%
12℃
$0 Vol.
38%
13℃
$0 Vol.
40%
14℃
$12 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16℃
$0 Vol.
21%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a Friday night low near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 8–10 mph, favoring radiative cooling after a 22°C daytime high. This places the implied probability for a 14°C low at 45.5% as the consensus outcome, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when high pressure promotes clear nocturnal conditions. The 27% chance assigned to 8°C or below reflects limited downside risk from stronger cooling or model shifts, while probabilities for 16°C+ capture upside uncertainty if cloud cover or wind patterns moderate overnight temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$12終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a Friday night low near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 8–10 mph, favoring radiative cooling after a 22°C daytime high. This places the implied probability for a 14°C low at 45.5% as the consensus outcome, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when high pressure promotes clear nocturnal conditions. The 27% chance assigned to 8°C or below reflects limited downside risk from stronger cooling or model shifts, while probabilities for 16°C+ capture upside uncertainty if cloud cover or wind patterns moderate overnight temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a Friday night low near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 8–10 mph, favoring radiative cooling after a 22°C daytime high. This places the implied probability for a 14°C low at 45.5% as the consensus outcome, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when high pressure promotes clear nocturnal conditions. The 27% chance assigned to 8°C or below reflects limited downside risk from stronger cooling or model shifts, while probabilities for 16°C+ capture upside uncertainty if cloud cover or wind patterns moderate overnight temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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