Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 65%
14°C 26%
13°C 6%
16℃ 5%
新規
$12,483 Vol.
新規
$12,483 Vol.
2026/09/17
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
26%
15°C
65%
16℃
5%
17℃
1%
18℃
<1%
19°C以上
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 26%
13°C 6%
16℃ 5%
新規
$12,483 Vol.
新規
$12,483 Vol.
2026/09/17
9°C以下
$261 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$194 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$449 Vol.
1%
12°C
$236 Vol.
2%
13°C
$842 Vol.
6%
14°C
$6,222 Vol.
26%
15°C
$2,280 Vol.
65%
16℃
$898 Vol.
5%
17℃
$325 Vol.
1%
18℃
$378 Vol.
<1%
19°C以上
$399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$12,483終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,483終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and other agencies point to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 17 under a moist northerly flow ahead of a southerly change, with widespread rain and gusty winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with early spring climatology, where average September maxima hover near 12.5–13°C, and current model consensus shows little support for exceeding 15°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C (63% implied probability) over 14°C (30.5%), reflecting minor upside bias from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent cooler model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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