Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 15 points to a high near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies, with marine layer and southwest breezes potentially limiting warming in the urban core. This follows a sharp cool-down from the September 9 peak of 94°F, the hottest reading so far this year, as onshore flow strengthens. Ensemble spreads and microclimate effects create genuine uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where most market-implied probability sits, while the 23% odds on sub-64°F or 82°F+ outcomes reflect tail risks from stronger fog intrusion or clearer, warmer conditions. Official daily maximum from downtown observations will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
9月15日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
68～69°F 40%
66～67°F 39%
70～71°F 31%
72〜73°F 28%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
63°F以下
11%
64～65°F
25%
66～67°F
39%
68～69°F
40%
70～71°F
31%
72〜73°F
28%
74～75°F
20%
76～77°F
22%
78～79°F
7%
80〜81°F
4%
華氏82度以上
15%
68～69°F 40%
66～67°F 39%
70～71°F 31%
72〜73°F 28%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
63°F以下
$0 Vol.
11%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
25%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
40%
70～71°F
$0 Vol.
31%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
28%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
20%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
7%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
4%
華氏82度以上
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 15 points to a high near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies, with marine layer and southwest breezes potentially limiting warming in the urban core. This follows a sharp cool-down from the September 9 peak of 94°F, the hottest reading so far this year, as onshore flow strengthens. Ensemble spreads and microclimate effects create genuine uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where most market-implied probability sits, while the 23% odds on sub-64°F or 82°F+ outcomes reflect tail risks from stronger fog intrusion or clearer, warmer conditions. Official daily maximum from downtown observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 15 points to a high near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies, with marine layer and southwest breezes potentially limiting warming in the urban core. This follows a sharp cool-down from the September 9 peak of 94°F, the hottest reading so far this year, as onshore flow strengthens. Ensemble spreads and microclimate effects create genuine uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where most market-implied probability sits, while the 23% odds on sub-64°F or 82°F+ outcomes reflect tail risks from stronger fog intrusion or clearer, warmer conditions. Official daily maximum from downtown observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 15 points to a high near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies, with marine layer and southwest breezes potentially limiting warming in the urban core. This follows a sharp cool-down from the September 9 peak of 94°F, the hottest reading so far this year, as onshore flow strengthens. Ensemble spreads and microclimate effects create genuine uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where most market-implied probability sits, while the 23% odds on sub-64°F or 82°F+ outcomes reflect tail risks from stronger fog intrusion or clearer, warmer conditions. Official daily maximum from downtown observations will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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