Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
9月15日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
18℃以下 41%
23℃ 41%
22°C 40%
24℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
18℃以下
41%
19℃
7%
20℃
8%
21°C
22%
22°C
30%
23℃
41%
24℃
24%
25°C
18%
26℃
7%
27°C
8%
28℃以上
8%
18℃以下 41%
23℃ 41%
22°C 40%
24℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
18℃以下
$10 Vol.
41%
19℃
$10 Vol.
7%
20℃
$10 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$3 Vol.
30%
23℃
$3 Vol.
41%
24℃
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26℃
$10 Vol.
7%
27°C
$10 Vol.
8%
28℃以上
$10 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$65終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$65終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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