Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chongqing on September 16 are suppressing daytime heating and driving trader consensus toward a 20–23°C high, with 22°C holding the narrowest lead at 26.5% implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble models show a moist, stable air mass with near-continuous precipitation and light winds limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping maxima well below the seasonal 27°C September average. Minor forecast spreads center on exact rainfall timing and cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 23°C or further suppression to 20°C, but the overall pattern favors the middle of the current distribution ahead of final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の重慶の最高気温は?
22℃ 28%
21°C 24%
20°C 19%
23℃ 13%
19℃以下
10%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22℃
28%
23℃
13%
24℃
8%
25℃
4%
26℃
3%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
22℃ 28%
21°C 24%
20°C 19%
23℃ 13%
19℃以下
10%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22℃
28%
23℃
13%
24℃
8%
25℃
4%
26℃
3%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chongqing on September 16 are suppressing daytime heating and driving trader consensus toward a 20–23°C high, with 22°C holding the narrowest lead at 26.5% implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble models show a moist, stable air mass with near-continuous precipitation and light winds limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping maxima well below the seasonal 27°C September average. Minor forecast spreads center on exact rainfall timing and cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 23°C or further suppression to 20°C, but the overall pattern favors the middle of the current distribution ahead of final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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