Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate London will see mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as mild advection of warmer air from the Atlantic offsets typical mid-September cooling. Cloud cover and light precipitation chances introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while historical September averages near 19°C underscore the current anomaly. Traders are weighing potential model shifts ahead of final verification, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のロンドンの最高気温は?
25℃ 33%
27℃以上 28%
24℃ 24%
23℃ 17%
17°C以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21℃
4%
22℃
7%
23℃
17%
24℃
24%
25℃
33%
26°C
14%
27℃以上
28%
25℃ 33%
27℃以上 28%
24℃ 24%
23℃ 17%
17°C以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21℃
4%
22℃
7%
23℃
17%
24℃
24%
25℃
33%
26°C
14%
27℃以上
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF indicate London will see mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as mild advection of warmer air from the Atlantic offsets typical mid-September cooling. Cloud cover and light precipitation chances introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while historical September averages near 19°C underscore the current anomaly. Traders are weighing potential model shifts ahead of final verification, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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