**Current conditions at Toronto Pearson International Airport show temperatures near 18–19°C early on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity around 88%.** Official Environment Canada guidance forecasts a daytime high of 26°C with mainly cloudy skies, followed by a nighttime low of 16°C under partly cloudy conditions. This places the expected daily minimum in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Several meteorological factors keep the outcome uncertain within a narrow range. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture limit radiational cooling overnight, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise moderate temperatures. The absence of a strong cold front or significant advection keeps conditions stable and above the long-term September 16 average low of roughly 13.7°C. Minor variations in cloud timing, wind shifts, or localized cooling pockets could shift the official minimum by 1–2°C, which is why trader consensus remains split across the 15–17°C band with secondary interest in 11°C or below reflecting residual downside risk if clearer skies develop. Additional hourly observations and updated model runs from Environment Canada will refine the final recorded value before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のトロントの最低気温は?
11°C以下 97%
15°C 49%
16℃ 49%
12℃ 19%
11°C以下
97%
12℃
19%
13℃
19%
14℃
19%
15°C
49%
16℃
49%
17°C
50%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
11°C以下 97%
15°C 49%
16℃ 49%
12℃ 19%
11°C以下
97%
12℃
19%
13℃
19%
14℃
19%
15°C
49%
16℃
49%
17°C
50%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current conditions at Toronto Pearson International Airport show temperatures near 18–19°C early on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity around 88%.** Official Environment Canada guidance forecasts a daytime high of 26°C with mainly cloudy skies, followed by a nighttime low of 16°C under partly cloudy conditions. This places the expected daily minimum in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Several meteorological factors keep the outcome uncertain within a narrow range. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture limit radiational cooling overnight, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise moderate temperatures. The absence of a strong cold front or significant advection keeps conditions stable and above the long-term September 16 average low of roughly 13.7°C. Minor variations in cloud timing, wind shifts, or localized cooling pockets could shift the official minimum by 1–2°C, which is why trader consensus remains split across the 15–17°C band with secondary interest in 11°C or below reflecting residual downside risk if clearer skies develop. Additional hourly observations and updated model runs from Environment Canada will refine the final recorded value before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問