Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 16 of 12–13 °C, with clearing skies and moderate westerly winds promoting limited radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 38 % and 35 % implied probability. A fresher Atlantic air mass following Tuesday’s milder conditions is keeping values near the long-term September average low of 11.6 °C at Heathrow, while daytime maxima around 19 °C limit afternoon heat retention. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official forecasts and potential model revisions on wind or cloud timing ahead of the 48-hour window, with lower-probability tails (10 °C or below) reflecting only modest downside risk from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月16日のロンドンの最低気温は？
13℃ 49%
12℃ 35%
11℃ 24%
14°C 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
8°C以下
3%
9°C
4%
10℃
4%
11℃
24%
12℃
35%
13℃
49%
14°C
24%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C以上
2%
13℃ 49%
12℃ 35%
11℃ 24%
14°C 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
4%
10℃
$0 Vol.
4%
11℃
$0 Vol.
24%
12℃
$8 Vol.
35%
13℃
$313 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 16 of 12–13 °C, with clearing skies and moderate westerly winds promoting limited radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 38 % and 35 % implied probability. A fresher Atlantic air mass following Tuesday’s milder conditions is keeping values near the long-term September average low of 11.6 °C at Heathrow, while daytime maxima around 19 °C limit afternoon heat retention. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official forecasts and potential model revisions on wind or cloud timing ahead of the 48-hour window, with lower-probability tails (10 °C or below) reflecting only modest downside risk from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$321終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 16 of 12–13 °C, with clearing skies and moderate westerly winds promoting limited radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 38 % and 35 % implied probability. A fresher Atlantic air mass following Tuesday’s milder conditions is keeping values near the long-term September average low of 11.6 °C at Heathrow, while daytime maxima around 19 °C limit afternoon heat retention. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official forecasts and potential model revisions on wind or cloud timing ahead of the 48-hour window, with lower-probability tails (10 °C or below) reflecting only modest downside risk from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$321終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 16 of 12–13 °C, with clearing skies and moderate westerly winds promoting limited radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 38 % and 35 % implied probability. A fresher Atlantic air mass following Tuesday’s milder conditions is keeping values near the long-term September average low of 11.6 °C at Heathrow, while daytime maxima around 19 °C limit afternoon heat retention. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official forecasts and potential model revisions on wind or cloud timing ahead of the 48-hour window, with lower-probability tails (10 °C or below) reflecting only modest downside risk from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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