Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by light northeast winds, high humidity near 70-90%, and variable cloud cover that may briefly allow stronger solar heating before any scattered showers develop. Observed highs on September 13 reached 31-32°C at several stations, establishing a warm baseline, while steering patterns and modest instability introduce spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range because resolution hinges on the precise timing of cloud breaks and precipitation, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and updated model runs expected to refine the peak before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の香港の最高気温は?
31℃ 41%
32℃ 33%
30℃ 16%
33°C 10%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30℃
16%
31℃
41%
32℃
33%
33°C
10%
34℃
1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
31℃ 41%
32℃ 33%
30℃ 16%
33°C 10%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30℃
16%
31℃
41%
32℃
33%
33°C
10%
34℃
1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by light northeast winds, high humidity near 70-90%, and variable cloud cover that may briefly allow stronger solar heating before any scattered showers develop. Observed highs on September 13 reached 31-32°C at several stations, establishing a warm baseline, while steering patterns and modest instability introduce spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range because resolution hinges on the precise timing of cloud breaks and precipitation, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and updated model runs expected to refine the peak before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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