Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from major models place Wuhan's September 14 daytime maximum in the 31–33 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Subtropical humidity and modest cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in peak readings, while any light precipitation noted in some runs could slightly suppress the high. Historical September averages for the region hover near 29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly. Updated model consensus and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の武漢の最高気温は?
32℃ 35%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 24%
30℃ 11%
27°C以下
3%
28℃
4%
29℃
6%
30℃
11%
31℃
24%
32℃
35%
33℃
24%
34℃
8%
35℃
3%
36℃
3%
37℃以上
2%
32℃ 35%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 24%
30℃ 11%
27°C以下
3%
28℃
4%
29℃
6%
30℃
11%
31℃
24%
32℃
35%
33℃
24%
34℃
8%
35℃
3%
36℃
3%
37℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from major models place Wuhan's September 14 daytime maximum in the 31–33 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Subtropical humidity and modest cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in peak readings, while any light precipitation noted in some runs could slightly suppress the high. Historical September averages for the region hover near 29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly. Updated model consensus and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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