Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on September 18, driven by mild southerly flow, elevated dew points near 65°F, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of above-normal warmth and humidity, with recent observations showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 70-73°F outcomes, aligns closely with this consensus forecast while assigning lower probability to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a sharper cold front. Updated model runs and official overnight observations through early September 18 remain the key near-term variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月18日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
70〜71°F 49%
72〜73°F 30%
68～69°F 18%
74～75°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
61°F以下
2%
62～63°F
7%
64〜65°F
11%
66～67°F
13%
68～69°F
18%
70〜71°F
49%
72〜73°F
30%
74～75°F
17%
76～77°F
5%
78〜79°F
1%
華氏80度以上
1%
70〜71°F 49%
72〜73°F 30%
68～69°F 18%
74～75°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
61°F以下
$0 Vol.
2%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
7%
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
11%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
13%
68～69°F
$248 Vol.
18%
70〜71°F
$530 Vol.
49%
72〜73°F
$361 Vol.
30%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
17%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78〜79°F
$311 Vol.
1%
華氏80度以上
$311 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on September 18, driven by mild southerly flow, elevated dew points near 65°F, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of above-normal warmth and humidity, with recent observations showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 70-73°F outcomes, aligns closely with this consensus forecast while assigning lower probability to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a sharper cold front. Updated model runs and official overnight observations through early September 18 remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$1,761終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on September 18, driven by mild southerly flow, elevated dew points near 65°F, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of above-normal warmth and humidity, with recent observations showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 70-73°F outcomes, aligns closely with this consensus forecast while assigning lower probability to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a sharper cold front. Updated model runs and official overnight observations through early September 18 remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,761終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on September 18, driven by mild southerly flow, elevated dew points near 65°F, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This pattern follows several days of above-normal warmth and humidity, with recent observations showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 70-73°F outcomes, aligns closely with this consensus forecast while assigning lower probability to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a sharper cold front. Updated model runs and official overnight observations through early September 18 remain the key near-term variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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