Current numerical weather models project a high near 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, allowing strong solar heating amid a warm, humid subtropical air mass. This aligns with recent model runs showing daytime maxima several degrees above the 31.7°C climatological average, though afternoon convection could cap peaks. Historical records for the date reach 37°C, and the absence of significant cooling fronts supports the market's heavy weighting toward 36°C (51% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の広州の最高気温は？
9月19日の広州の最高気温は？
36℃ 51%
35℃ 23%
37℃ 23%
34°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
29℃以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
2%
33℃
2%
34°C
4%
35℃
23%
36℃
51%
37℃
23%
38°C
2%
39℃以上
1%
36℃ 51%
35℃ 23%
37℃ 23%
34°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
29℃以下
$209 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$308 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$237 Vol.
2%
33℃
$208 Vol.
2%
34°C
$473 Vol.
4%
35℃
$499 Vol.
23%
36℃
$1,862 Vol.
51%
37℃
$611 Vol.
23%
38°C
$2,306 Vol.
2%
39℃以上
$831 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models project a high near 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, allowing strong solar heating amid a warm, humid subtropical air mass. This aligns with recent model runs showing daytime maxima several degrees above the 31.7°C climatological average, though afternoon convection could cap peaks. Historical records for the date reach 37°C, and the absence of significant cooling fronts supports the market's heavy weighting toward 36°C (51% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$7,794終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models project a high near 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, allowing strong solar heating amid a warm, humid subtropical air mass. This aligns with recent model runs showing daytime maxima several degrees above the 31.7°C climatological average, though afternoon convection could cap peaks. Historical records for the date reach 37°C, and the absence of significant cooling fronts supports the market's heavy weighting toward 36°C (51% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,794終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models project a high near 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, allowing strong solar heating amid a warm, humid subtropical air mass. This aligns with recent model runs showing daytime maxima several degrees above the 31.7°C climatological average, though afternoon convection could cap peaks. Historical records for the date reach 37°C, and the absence of significant cooling fronts supports the market's heavy weighting toward 36°C (51% implied probability) over cooler or hotter extremes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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