Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate generally fine, dry conditions for September 18 under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, supporting daytime highs near 31°C with low rainfall probability and easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant cloud or precipitation interference, aligning with September's climatological mean maximum of 30.5°C. Trader-implied odds cluster evenly across 28–34°C because small differences in peak timing, localized wind mixing, or station-specific measurements can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and the final 24-hour observational trends will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の香港の最高気温は?
31℃ 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 22%
29°C 20%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28°C
17%
29°C
20%
30℃
19%
31℃
26%
32°C
25%
33°C
22%
34℃
17%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 26%
32°C 25%
33°C 22%
29°C 20%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28°C
17%
29°C
20%
30℃
19%
31℃
26%
32°C
25%
33°C
22%
34℃
17%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate generally fine, dry conditions for September 18 under a moderating northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, supporting daytime highs near 31°C with low rainfall probability and easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant cloud or precipitation interference, aligning with September's climatological mean maximum of 30.5°C. Trader-implied odds cluster evenly across 28–34°C because small differences in peak timing, localized wind mixing, or station-specific measurements can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming model updates and the final 24-hour observational trends will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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