Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily high near 81°F for Chicago on September 15, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front is advecting warmer, more humid air, while increasing cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms could suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. Forecasters note modest uncertainty in exact maximums depending on storm timing and coverage, with some guidance favoring mid-80s if clearing occurs earlier. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current conditions favor above-normal readings. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のシカゴの最高気温は？
9月15日のシカゴの最高気温は？
80～81°F 37%
82～83°F 26%
78～79°F 16%
84～85°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
71°F以下
<1%
72～73°F
1%
華氏74〜75度
3%
76〜77°F
7%
78～79°F
16%
80～81°F
37%
82～83°F
26%
84～85°F
11%
86〜87°F
4%
88～89°F
1%
90°F以上
<1%
80～81°F 37%
82～83°F 26%
78～79°F 16%
84～85°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
71°F以下
$388 Vol.
<1%
72～73°F
$132 Vol.
1%
華氏74〜75度
$7 Vol.
3%
76〜77°F
$163 Vol.
7%
78～79°F
$731 Vol.
16%
80～81°F
$487 Vol.
37%
82～83°F
$401 Vol.
26%
84～85°F
$331 Vol.
11%
86〜87°F
$52 Vol.
4%
88～89°F
$54 Vol.
1%
90°F以上
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily high near 81°F for Chicago on September 15, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front is advecting warmer, more humid air, while increasing cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms could suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. Forecasters note modest uncertainty in exact maximums depending on storm timing and coverage, with some guidance favoring mid-80s if clearing occurs earlier. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current conditions favor above-normal readings. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
音量
$3,082終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily high near 81°F for Chicago on September 15, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front is advecting warmer, more humid air, while increasing cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms could suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. Forecasters note modest uncertainty in exact maximums depending on storm timing and coverage, with some guidance favoring mid-80s if clearing occurs earlier. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current conditions favor above-normal readings. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,082終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily high near 81°F for Chicago on September 15, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 35.5% implied probability. Southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front is advecting warmer, more humid air, while increasing cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms could suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. Forecasters note modest uncertainty in exact maximums depending on storm timing and coverage, with some guidance favoring mid-80s if clearing occurs earlier. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, but current conditions favor above-normal readings. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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