**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) position 27°C as the consensus minimum for September 16.** Issued on September 15, the HKO outlook explicitly projects a low of 27°C (with a daytime range of 27–31°C) under easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, low humidity (60–85%), and minimal rain risk as a northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge promote clearer, drier conditions across the region. This aligns closely with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C (66% implied probability), reflecting traders' confidence in the authoritative local forecast. Supporting model runs and international outlooks show overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C, with limited scope for greater cooling given the persistent easterly flow and residual warmth from recent days. A slight downside risk to 26°C (28% probability) exists if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases modestly overnight, but current steering patterns and pressure gradients make sub-25°C outcomes unlikely. The 27°C threshold matches both the latest HKO guidance and the prevailing scientific consensus on how monsoon moderation and high-pressure subsidence will shape the diurnal temperature range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の香港の最低気温は？
9月16日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 68%
26°C 23%
25℃ 6%
28℃ 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
2%
25℃
6%
26°C
23%
27℃
68%
28℃
2%
29℃
1%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
1%
27℃ 68%
26°C 23%
25℃ 6%
28℃ 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
21℃以下
$188 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$188 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$75 Vol.
1%
24℃
$485 Vol.
2%
25℃
$717 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,453 Vol.
23%
27℃
$2,785 Vol.
68%
28℃
$1,135 Vol.
2%
29℃
$0 Vol.
1%
30℃
$311 Vol.
1%
31℃以上
$935 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) position 27°C as the consensus minimum for September 16.** Issued on September 15, the HKO outlook explicitly projects a low of 27°C (with a daytime range of 27–31°C) under easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, low humidity (60–85%), and minimal rain risk as a northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge promote clearer, drier conditions across the region.
This aligns closely with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C (66% implied probability), reflecting traders' confidence in the authoritative local forecast. Supporting model runs and international outlooks show overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C, with limited scope for greater cooling given the persistent easterly flow and residual warmth from recent days. A slight downside risk to 26°C (28% probability) exists if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases modestly overnight, but current steering patterns and pressure gradients make sub-25°C outcomes unlikely.
The 27°C threshold matches both the latest HKO guidance and the prevailing scientific consensus on how monsoon moderation and high-pressure subsidence will shape the diurnal temperature range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$9,272終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) position 27°C as the consensus minimum for September 16.** Issued on September 15, the HKO outlook explicitly projects a low of 27°C (with a daytime range of 27–31°C) under easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, low humidity (60–85%), and minimal rain risk as a northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge promote clearer, drier conditions across the region.
This aligns closely with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C (66% implied probability), reflecting traders' confidence in the authoritative local forecast. Supporting model runs and international outlooks show overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C, with limited scope for greater cooling given the persistent easterly flow and residual warmth from recent days. A slight downside risk to 26°C (28% probability) exists if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases modestly overnight, but current steering patterns and pressure gradients make sub-25°C outcomes unlikely.
The 27°C threshold matches both the latest HKO guidance and the prevailing scientific consensus on how monsoon moderation and high-pressure subsidence will shape the diurnal temperature range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$9,272終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) position 27°C as the consensus minimum for September 16.** Issued on September 15, the HKO outlook explicitly projects a low of 27°C (with a daytime range of 27–31°C) under easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, low humidity (60–85%), and minimal rain risk as a northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge promote clearer, drier conditions across the region. This aligns closely with the market's strong weighting toward 27°C (66% implied probability), reflecting traders' confidence in the authoritative local forecast. Supporting model runs and international outlooks show overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C, with limited scope for greater cooling given the persistent easterly flow and residual warmth from recent days. A slight downside risk to 26°C (28% probability) exists if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases modestly overnight, but current steering patterns and pressure gradients make sub-25°C outcomes unlikely. The 27°C threshold matches both the latest HKO guidance and the prevailing scientific consensus on how monsoon moderation and high-pressure subsidence will shape the diurnal temperature range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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