The closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月17日のオースティンの最高気温は？
96～97°F 39%
98〜99°F 39%
94～95°F 12%
100〜101°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
85°F以下
1%
86～87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
1%
90～91°F
1%
92～93°F
2%
94～95°F
12%
96～97°F
39%
98〜99°F
39%
100〜101°F
7%
102～103°F
1%
104°F以上
<1%
96～97°F 39%
98〜99°F 39%
94～95°F 12%
100〜101°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
85°F以下
$401 Vol.
1%
86～87°F
$197 Vol.
<1%
88〜89°F
$90 Vol.
1%
90～91°F
$0 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$105 Vol.
2%
94～95°F
$292 Vol.
12%
96～97°F
$185 Vol.
39%
98〜99°F
$171 Vol.
39%
100〜101°F
$241 Vol.
7%
102～103°F
$26 Vol.
1%
104°F以上
$759 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$2,467終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,467終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThe closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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