Recent short-range model runs from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul's September 18 maximum likely peaking near 23–24°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, keeping the market's leading outcomes tightly matched at 48% and 45%. Persistent high pressure and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming from current 21–22°C readings, while scattered shower chances and variable insolation introduce the narrow uncertainty band between these thresholds. Historical mid-September averages hover around 23–25°C, providing climatological context, with official observations from Turkish meteorological stations expected to resolve the market by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のイスタンブールの最高気温は?
24℃ 48%
23℃ 45%
25°C 6%
20℃以下 5%
20℃以下
5%
21°C
3%
22℃
4%
23℃
45%
24℃
48%
25°C
6%
26℃
3%
27℃
2%
28℃
2%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
24℃ 48%
23℃ 45%
25°C 6%
20℃以下 5%
20℃以下
5%
21°C
3%
22℃
4%
23℃
45%
24℃
48%
25°C
6%
26℃
3%
27℃
2%
28℃
2%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul's September 18 maximum likely peaking near 23–24°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, keeping the market's leading outcomes tightly matched at 48% and 45%. Persistent high pressure and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming from current 21–22°C readings, while scattered shower chances and variable insolation introduce the narrow uncertainty band between these thresholds. Historical mid-September averages hover around 23–25°C, providing climatological context, with official observations from Turkish meteorological stations expected to resolve the market by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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