Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月18日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
13℃以下 100%
23°C以上 98%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
13℃以下
100%
14℃
40%
15℃
40%
16℃
40%
17°C
40%
18℃
40%
19℃
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22℃
40%
23°C以上
98%
13℃以下 100%
23°C以上 98%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
14℃
$0 Vol.
40%
15℃
$0 Vol.
40%
16℃
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18℃
$0 Vol.
40%
19℃
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22℃
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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