Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department point to partly cloudy skies with a 30-50% chance of isolated thundershowers in Lucknow on September 18, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a weak trough. These conditions create tight differentiation among 32–35°C outcomes: afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress peak heating to 32–33°C, while breaks allowing stronger solar insolation push readings to 34–35°C under typical September humidity of 70–85% and light winds. Model consensus remains close, with limited historical analogs for late-monsoon variability this year, leaving trader-implied odds evenly spread until updated short-range guidance arrives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32°C 39%
33℃ 36%
31℃ 31%
34℃ 28%
27°C以下
4%
28℃
4%
29℃
4%
30°C
9%
31℃
31%
32°C
39%
33℃
36%
34℃
28%
35℃
16%
36°C
3%
37°C以上
5%
32°C 39%
33℃ 36%
31℃ 31%
34℃ 28%
27°C以下
4%
28℃
4%
29℃
4%
30°C
9%
31℃
31%
32°C
39%
33℃
36%
34℃
28%
35℃
16%
36°C
3%
37°C以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department point to partly cloudy skies with a 30-50% chance of isolated thundershowers in Lucknow on September 18, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a weak trough. These conditions create tight differentiation among 32–35°C outcomes: afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress peak heating to 32–33°C, while breaks allowing stronger solar insolation push readings to 34–35°C under typical September humidity of 70–85% and light winds. Model consensus remains close, with limited historical analogs for late-monsoon variability this year, leaving trader-implied odds evenly spread until updated short-range guidance arrives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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