Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Lucknow of 32–34°C on September 16, driven by partly cloudy skies with light rain or thundershowers possible under lingering monsoon conditions. High humidity near 80% and light westerly winds support heat retention, while afternoon convection and scattered storms introduce uncertainty that could limit peak readings. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, and recent observations show daily highs of 33–34.5°C with minimal deviation. These factors underpin the market-implied 55.5% chance for 33°C or higher alongside the 34.5% probability for exactly 32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33℃以上 60%
32℃ 33%
31℃ 10%
30℃ <1%
$11,492 Vol.
$11,492 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
10%
32℃
33%
33℃以上
60%
33℃以上 60%
32℃ 33%
31℃ 10%
30℃ <1%
$11,492 Vol.
$11,492 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
10%
32℃
33%
33℃以上
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Lucknow of 32–34°C on September 16, driven by partly cloudy skies with light rain or thundershowers possible under lingering monsoon conditions. High humidity near 80% and light westerly winds support heat retention, while afternoon convection and scattered storms introduce uncertainty that could limit peak readings. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, and recent observations show daily highs of 33–34.5°C with minimal deviation. These factors underpin the market-implied 55.5% chance for 33°C or higher alongside the 34.5% probability for exactly 32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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