Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by an approaching frontal system that will increase cloud cover and trigger scattered thunderstorms by afternoon. Westerly winds and higher humidity will limit daytime heating compared to the clearer conditions on September 15. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 25–27°C outcomes, as traders weigh the expected peak against historical September averages around 20°C and the potential for brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
26℃ 37%
27℃ 23%
25℃ 22%
23℃以下 6%
$33,625 Vol.
$33,625 Vol.
23℃以下
6%
24°C
6%
25℃
22%
26℃
37%
27℃
23%
28℃
6%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
26℃ 37%
27℃ 23%
25℃ 22%
23℃以下 6%
$33,625 Vol.
$33,625 Vol.
23℃以下
6%
24°C
6%
25℃
22%
26℃
37%
27℃
23%
28℃
6%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by an approaching frontal system that will increase cloud cover and trigger scattered thunderstorms by afternoon. Westerly winds and higher humidity will limit daytime heating compared to the clearer conditions on September 15. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 25–27°C outcomes, as traders weigh the expected peak against historical September averages around 20°C and the potential for brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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