Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data and agencies like Météo-France points to clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into the Paris region on September 15, driving afternoon highs into the low 30s°C range. This setup, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6°C, features minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with peak readings expected mid-to-late afternoon under building high pressure. Multiple runs converge on 31–33°C outcomes, aligning with trader emphasis on 32°C at 51.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor model adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のパリの最高気温は？
9月15日のパリの最高気温は？
32°C 50%
33℃ 28%
31°C 14%
30℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
2%
30℃
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
50%
33℃
28%
34℃
6%
35℃
1%
36℃以上
1%
32°C 50%
33℃ 28%
31°C 14%
30℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
26℃以下
$438 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$238 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$405 Vol.
2%
30℃
$824 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,370 Vol.
14%
32°C
$2,415 Vol.
50%
33℃
$1,264 Vol.
28%
34℃
$1,102 Vol.
6%
35℃
$132 Vol.
1%
36℃以上
$178 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data and agencies like Météo-France points to clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into the Paris region on September 15, driving afternoon highs into the low 30s°C range. This setup, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6°C, features minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with peak readings expected mid-to-late afternoon under building high pressure. Multiple runs converge on 31–33°C outcomes, aligning with trader emphasis on 32°C at 51.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
音量
$8,722終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data and agencies like Météo-France points to clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into the Paris region on September 15, driving afternoon highs into the low 30s°C range. This setup, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6°C, features minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with peak readings expected mid-to-late afternoon under building high pressure. Multiple runs converge on 31–33°C outcomes, aligning with trader emphasis on 32°C at 51.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,722終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data and agencies like Météo-France points to clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into the Paris region on September 15, driving afternoon highs into the low 30s°C range. This setup, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.6°C, features minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with peak readings expected mid-to-late afternoon under building high pressure. Multiple runs converge on 31–33°C outcomes, aligning with trader emphasis on 32°C at 51.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor model adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問