**Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and yr.no converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Helsinki on September 16, 2026, under southerly winds and extensive cloud cover.** This setup supports the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for 16°C while keeping 15°C and 17°C as secondary outcomes at 15.5% and 19.0%. Milder maritime air advection is offset by high humidity, widespread cloudiness, and scattered rain that caps radiative warming. Recent observations on September 15 showed similar highs near 15°C with stable pressure trends, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs. Historical September averages in the low-to-mid teens provide additional context for the narrow distribution of probabilities around the expected value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
9月16日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
16°C 61%
17°C 19%
15°C 16%
14℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
2%
14℃
3%
15°C
16%
16°C
61%
17°C
19%
18℃
2%
19℃
1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 19%
15°C 16%
14℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11℃以下
$141 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$163 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14℃
$265 Vol.
3%
15°C
$1,142 Vol.
16%
16°C
$3,845 Vol.
61%
17°C
$634 Vol.
19%
18℃
$265 Vol.
2%
19℃
$79 Vol.
1%
20°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
21℃以上
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and yr.no converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Helsinki on September 16, 2026, under southerly winds and extensive cloud cover.** This setup supports the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for 16°C while keeping 15°C and 17°C as secondary outcomes at 15.5% and 19.0%. Milder maritime air advection is offset by high humidity, widespread cloudiness, and scattered rain that caps radiative warming. Recent observations on September 15 showed similar highs near 15°C with stable pressure trends, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs. Historical September averages in the low-to-mid teens provide additional context for the narrow distribution of probabilities around the expected value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$6,835終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and yr.no converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Helsinki on September 16, 2026, under southerly winds and extensive cloud cover.** This setup supports the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for 16°C while keeping 15°C and 17°C as secondary outcomes at 15.5% and 19.0%. Milder maritime air advection is offset by high humidity, widespread cloudiness, and scattered rain that caps radiative warming. Recent observations on September 15 showed similar highs near 15°C with stable pressure trends, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs. Historical September averages in the low-to-mid teens provide additional context for the narrow distribution of probabilities around the expected value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,835終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and yr.no converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Helsinki on September 16, 2026, under southerly winds and extensive cloud cover.** This setup supports the market's strong 60.5% implied probability for 16°C while keeping 15°C and 17°C as secondary outcomes at 15.5% and 19.0%. Milder maritime air advection is offset by high humidity, widespread cloudiness, and scattered rain that caps radiative warming. Recent observations on September 15 showed similar highs near 15°C with stable pressure trends, and no significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs. Historical September averages in the low-to-mid teens provide additional context for the narrow distribution of probabilities around the expected value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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