Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show strong consensus for a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This represents a mild spring day slightly above the long-term September average high near 12.5–15°C, driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming without significant precipitation or southerly cooling. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with minimal risk of deviation to 17°C or below 15°C given current steering patterns and low model disagreement. Final MetService observations will determine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月15日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16℃ 65%
15°C 21%
17℃ 14%
14℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
3%
15°C
21%
16℃
65%
17℃
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
16℃ 65%
15°C 21%
17℃ 14%
14℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
11°C以下
$182 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$1,151 Vol.
3%
15°C
$2,341 Vol.
21%
16℃
$1,338 Vol.
65%
17℃
$1,488 Vol.
14%
18°C
$716 Vol.
1%
19°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21℃以上
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show strong consensus for a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This represents a mild spring day slightly above the long-term September average high near 12.5–15°C, driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming without significant precipitation or southerly cooling. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with minimal risk of deviation to 17°C or below 15°C given current steering patterns and low model disagreement. Final MetService observations will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
音量
$8,364終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show strong consensus for a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This represents a mild spring day slightly above the long-term September average high near 12.5–15°C, driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming without significant precipitation or southerly cooling. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with minimal risk of deviation to 17°C or below 15°C given current steering patterns and low model disagreement. Final MetService observations will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,364終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show strong consensus for a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This represents a mild spring day slightly above the long-term September average high near 12.5–15°C, driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming without significant precipitation or southerly cooling. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with minimal risk of deviation to 17°C or below 15°C given current steering patterns and low model disagreement. Final MetService observations will determine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問