Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies project a high near 26°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent observations show warmer conditions on September 15–16 with highs reaching 27–29°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty about whether residual warmth or slight model spreads could push the daily maximum to 27–28°C. Historical September averages for the coastal Shandong site hover around 26°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid typical short-term forecast variability in transitional monsoon patterns. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の青島の最高気温は？
9月17日の青島の最高気温は？
28°C 38%
27℃ 28%
29℃ 18%
26°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
22℃以下
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27℃
28%
28°C
38%
29℃
18%
30℃
5%
31℃
4%
32°C以上
3%
28°C 38%
27℃ 28%
29℃ 18%
26°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
22℃以下
$243 Vol.
1%
23℃
$156 Vol.
1%
24℃
$83 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$12 Vol.
10%
27℃
$156 Vol.
28%
28°C
$388 Vol.
38%
29℃
$14 Vol.
18%
30℃
$26 Vol.
5%
31℃
$19 Vol.
4%
32°C以上
$197 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies project a high near 26°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent observations show warmer conditions on September 15–16 with highs reaching 27–29°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty about whether residual warmth or slight model spreads could push the daily maximum to 27–28°C. Historical September averages for the coastal Shandong site hover around 26°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid typical short-term forecast variability in transitional monsoon patterns. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$1,293終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies project a high near 26°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent observations show warmer conditions on September 15–16 with highs reaching 27–29°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty about whether residual warmth or slight model spreads could push the daily maximum to 27–28°C. Historical September averages for the coastal Shandong site hover around 26°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid typical short-term forecast variability in transitional monsoon patterns. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,293終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETForecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies project a high near 26°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and moderate humidity that limits daytime heating. Recent observations show warmer conditions on September 15–16 with highs reaching 27–29°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty about whether residual warmth or slight model spreads could push the daily maximum to 27–28°C. Historical September averages for the coastal Shandong site hover around 26°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid typical short-term forecast variability in transitional monsoon patterns. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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