Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 17, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and tropical moisture, which cap daytime heating and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. High humidity levels above 80 percent, combined with reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, suppress surface warming compared to clearer conditions, while light variable winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows only modest variability, keeping probabilities clustered around 31–32 °C as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus sustained rain. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のマニラの最高気温は?
32℃ 34%
31℃ 31%
34℃ 18%
29℃ 15%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29℃
15%
30°C
11%
31℃
31%
32℃
34%
33°C
14%
34℃
18%
35℃
5%
36℃以上
1%
32℃ 34%
31℃ 31%
34℃ 18%
29℃ 15%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29℃
15%
30°C
11%
31℃
31%
32℃
34%
33°C
14%
34℃
18%
35℃
5%
36℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 17, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and tropical moisture, which cap daytime heating and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. High humidity levels above 80 percent, combined with reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, suppress surface warming compared to clearer conditions, while light variable winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows only modest variability, keeping probabilities clustered around 31–32 °C as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus sustained rain. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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