Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This follows a cool maritime air mass that arrived after heavy storms on September 16, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal average high of 19.4°C. The market-implied odds, with 21°C leading at 53.5% and 20°C at 29.5%, reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions and limited model spread for the final daytime peak. Minor upside to 22°C remains possible if afternoon breaks in cloud cover develop, though recent observations show little support for warmer outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
21℃ 54%
20°C 29%
22°C 13%
19℃ 5%
17℃以下
1%
18℃
2%
19℃
5%
20°C
29%
21℃
54%
22°C
13%
23°C
4%
24℃
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
21℃ 54%
20°C 29%
22°C 13%
19℃ 5%
17℃以下
1%
18℃
2%
19℃
5%
20°C
29%
21℃
54%
22°C
13%
23°C
4%
24℃
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This follows a cool maritime air mass that arrived after heavy storms on September 16, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal average high of 19.4°C. The market-implied odds, with 21°C leading at 53.5% and 20°C at 29.5%, reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions and limited model spread for the final daytime peak. Minor upside to 22°C remains possible if afternoon breaks in cloud cover develop, though recent observations show little support for warmer outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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