A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an upper-level anticyclone is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, driving the Hong Kong Observatory forecast for a minimum of 27°C on September 17. Official outlooks consistently project overnight lows in the 27–28°C range under easterly flow of 3–5 Beaufort, with limited cloud cover and low rainfall probability preventing further radiative cooling. Current observations from HKO and regional stations show early-morning readings clustered near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 88.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C. Minor deviations to 26°C carry only an 8% consensus, reflecting limited scope for cooler pockets absent any incoming frontal systems or increased humidity. Updated model guidance through the day is expected to confirm whether the minimum settles at or slightly above the forecast threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の香港の最低気温は？
9月17日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 91%
26℃ 10%
25℃ 1.0%
23°C <1%
新規
$28,913 Vol.
新規
$28,913 Vol.
2026/09/17
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
1%
26℃
10%
27℃
91%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
27℃ 91%
26℃ 10%
25℃ 1.0%
23°C <1%
新規
$28,913 Vol.
新規
$28,913 Vol.
2026/09/17
21℃以下
$86 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$154 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$103 Vol.
1%
24°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$2,481 Vol.
1%
26℃
$8,001 Vol.
10%
27℃
$11,413 Vol.
91%
28°C
$5,192 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$153 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an upper-level anticyclone is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, driving the Hong Kong Observatory forecast for a minimum of 27°C on September 17. Official outlooks consistently project overnight lows in the 27–28°C range under easterly flow of 3–5 Beaufort, with limited cloud cover and low rainfall probability preventing further radiative cooling. Current observations from HKO and regional stations show early-morning readings clustered near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 88.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C. Minor deviations to 26°C carry only an 8% consensus, reflecting limited scope for cooler pockets absent any incoming frontal systems or increased humidity. Updated model guidance through the day is expected to confirm whether the minimum settles at or slightly above the forecast threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$28,913終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an upper-level anticyclone is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, driving the Hong Kong Observatory forecast for a minimum of 27°C on September 17. Official outlooks consistently project overnight lows in the 27–28°C range under easterly flow of 3–5 Beaufort, with limited cloud cover and low rainfall probability preventing further radiative cooling. Current observations from HKO and regional stations show early-morning readings clustered near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 88.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C. Minor deviations to 26°C carry only an 8% consensus, reflecting limited scope for cooler pockets absent any incoming frontal systems or increased humidity. Updated model guidance through the day is expected to confirm whether the minimum settles at or slightly above the forecast threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,913終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an upper-level anticyclone is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, driving the Hong Kong Observatory forecast for a minimum of 27°C on September 17. Official outlooks consistently project overnight lows in the 27–28°C range under easterly flow of 3–5 Beaufort, with limited cloud cover and low rainfall probability preventing further radiative cooling. Current observations from HKO and regional stations show early-morning readings clustered near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 88.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C. Minor deviations to 26°C carry only an 8% consensus, reflecting limited scope for cooler pockets absent any incoming frontal systems or increased humidity. Updated model guidance through the day is expected to confirm whether the minimum settles at or slightly above the forecast threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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