**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily high in Beijing today, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather models and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5-8 km/h, and peak afternoon temperatures aligning with that threshold.** Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF support this outcome amid typical mid-September conditions, where the seasonal average high sits near 26°C but current atmospheric patterns favor warmer readings without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress them. Official monitoring from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact maximum, with any unexpected increase in humidity or earlier cloud build-up representing the main realistic paths to a lower reading; historical extremes for the date reach 32.4°C, underscoring the narrow window for deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の北京の最高気温は?
31℃ 99%
32℃ 1.5%
33℃ <1%
35℃以上 <1%
$56,944 Vol.
$56,944 Vol.
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
99%
32℃
2%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 99%
32℃ 1.5%
33℃ <1%
35℃以上 <1%
$56,944 Vol.
$56,944 Vol.
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
99%
32℃
2%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily high in Beijing today, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather models and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5-8 km/h, and peak afternoon temperatures aligning with that threshold.** Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF support this outcome amid typical mid-September conditions, where the seasonal average high sits near 26°C but current atmospheric patterns favor warmer readings without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress them. Official monitoring from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact maximum, with any unexpected increase in humidity or earlier cloud build-up representing the main realistic paths to a lower reading; historical extremes for the date reach 32.4°C, underscoring the narrow window for deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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