Latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and GFS models project a high near 97–99°F in Austin on September 19 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This aligns with persistent high-pressure subsidence and above-climatological warmth for mid-September, when the long-term average high is roughly 90°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 96–101°F bins because small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon dew-point values can shift the exact maximum by a degree or two. Official updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のオースティンの最高気温は?
96〜97°F 40%
98〜99°F 39%
100〜101°F 36%
94〜95°F 19%
87°F以下
5%
88~89°F
5%
90〜91°F
9%
92~93°F
3%
94〜95°F
19%
96〜97°F
40%
98〜99°F
21%
100〜101°F
36%
102~103°F
18%
104~105°F
11%
華氏106度以上
6%
96〜97°F 40%
98〜99°F 39%
100〜101°F 36%
94〜95°F 19%
87°F以下
5%
88~89°F
5%
90〜91°F
9%
92~93°F
3%
94〜95°F
19%
96〜97°F
40%
98〜99°F
21%
100〜101°F
36%
102~103°F
18%
104~105°F
11%
華氏106度以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and GFS models project a high near 97–99°F in Austin on September 19 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This aligns with persistent high-pressure subsidence and above-climatological warmth for mid-September, when the long-term average high is roughly 90°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 96–101°F bins because small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon dew-point values can shift the exact maximum by a degree or two. Official updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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