**Official observations from Miami International Airport show a minimum temperature of 75°F on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the market's strong consensus on the 74-75°F bin.** Typical late-September subtropical conditions in South Florida, including high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, limited nocturnal radiative cooling and kept overnight lows near the 1991–2020 average of 76.7°F. No significant cold front or unusual atmospheric setup altered this pattern, consistent with historical lows rarely dropping below 73°F on this date. Trader positioning reflects these standard meteorological factors and the absence of atypical cooling influences, with the 76.5% implied probability on 74-75°F underscoring confidence in near-normal outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のマイアミの最低気温は?
74~75°F 96%
72~73°F 3%
70〜71°F 3%
69°F以下 1.9%
$5,505 Vol.
$5,505 Vol.
69°F以下
2%
70〜71°F
3%
72~73°F
3%
74~75°F
96%
76~77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84~85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
74~75°F 96%
72~73°F 3%
70〜71°F 3%
69°F以下 1.9%
$5,505 Vol.
$5,505 Vol.
69°F以下
2%
70〜71°F
3%
72~73°F
3%
74~75°F
96%
76~77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84~85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official observations from Miami International Airport show a minimum temperature of 75°F on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the market's strong consensus on the 74-75°F bin.** Typical late-September subtropical conditions in South Florida, including high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, limited nocturnal radiative cooling and kept overnight lows near the 1991–2020 average of 76.7°F. No significant cold front or unusual atmospheric setup altered this pattern, consistent with historical lows rarely dropping below 73°F on this date. Trader positioning reflects these standard meteorological factors and the absence of atypical cooling influences, with the 76.5% implied probability on 74-75°F underscoring confidence in near-normal outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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