Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a mostly cloudy to clearing day in Beijing on September 20, with a projected high near 29°C under light easterly winds and limited moisture. This consensus, reinforced by GFS and similar model runs showing modest daytime heating amid partial cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market probabilities for 28–30°C. Seasonal norms for mid-September feature average highs of 26–28°C, while variable afternoon insolation and weak steering patterns introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Traders weigh these factors against potential model revisions or localized observations ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の北京の最高気温は?
28℃ 29%
29℃ 29%
30℃ 24%
27°C 18%
24°C以下
3%
25℃
8%
26°C
10%
27°C
18%
28℃
29%
29℃
29%
30℃
24%
31℃
7%
32℃
5%
33℃
4%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 29%
29℃ 29%
30℃ 24%
27°C 18%
24°C以下
3%
25℃
8%
26°C
10%
27°C
18%
28℃
29%
29℃
29%
30℃
24%
31℃
7%
32℃
5%
33℃
4%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a mostly cloudy to clearing day in Beijing on September 20, with a projected high near 29°C under light easterly winds and limited moisture. This consensus, reinforced by GFS and similar model runs showing modest daytime heating amid partial cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market probabilities for 28–30°C. Seasonal norms for mid-September feature average highs of 26–28°C, while variable afternoon insolation and weak steering patterns introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings. Traders weigh these factors against potential model revisions or localized observations ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問