**Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models points to a maximum of 19–21°C in London on September 18, with 20°C carrying the strongest market-implied probability.** A mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic is advecting air with dew points near 10–12°C, while increasing mid-level cloud and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit surface heating and keep the boundary layer well-mixed. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering around 19–20°C after accounting for urban heat-island effects at central London sites. The absence of strong subsidence or clear skies overnight has prevented larger diurnal ranges, anchoring trader expectations near the seasonal normal rather than outlier warmth or cooler post-frontal air. Final resolution will hinge on the 18 UTC observations and any late-model adjustments overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のロンドンの最高気温は？
9月18日のロンドンの最高気温は？
20℃ 64%
19℃ 21%
21℃ 17%
22℃ 2.8%
新規
$30,507 Vol.
新規
$30,507 Vol.
2026/09/18
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19℃
21%
20℃
64%
21℃
17%
22℃
3%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
20℃ 64%
19℃ 21%
21℃ 17%
22℃ 2.8%
新規
$30,507 Vol.
新規
$30,507 Vol.
2026/09/18
15℃以下
$197 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$251 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,558 Vol.
1%
19℃
$6,263 Vol.
21%
20℃
$7,741 Vol.
64%
21℃
$8,698 Vol.
17%
22℃
$3,794 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,888 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$253 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$562 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models points to a maximum of 19–21°C in London on September 18, with 20°C carrying the strongest market-implied probability.** A mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic is advecting air with dew points near 10–12°C, while increasing mid-level cloud and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit surface heating and keep the boundary layer well-mixed. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering around 19–20°C after accounting for urban heat-island effects at central London sites. The absence of strong subsidence or clear skies overnight has prevented larger diurnal ranges, anchoring trader expectations near the seasonal normal rather than outlier warmth or cooler post-frontal air. Final resolution will hinge on the 18 UTC observations and any late-model adjustments overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$30,507終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models points to a maximum of 19–21°C in London on September 18, with 20°C carrying the strongest market-implied probability.** A mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic is advecting air with dew points near 10–12°C, while increasing mid-level cloud and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit surface heating and keep the boundary layer well-mixed. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering around 19–20°C after accounting for urban heat-island effects at central London sites. The absence of strong subsidence or clear skies overnight has prevented larger diurnal ranges, anchoring trader expectations near the seasonal normal rather than outlier warmth or cooler post-frontal air. Final resolution will hinge on the 18 UTC observations and any late-model adjustments overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$30,507終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and global models points to a maximum of 19–21°C in London on September 18, with 20°C carrying the strongest market-implied probability.** A mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic is advecting air with dew points near 10–12°C, while increasing mid-level cloud and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit surface heating and keep the boundary layer well-mixed. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering around 19–20°C after accounting for urban heat-island effects at central London sites. The absence of strong subsidence or clear skies overnight has prevented larger diurnal ranges, anchoring trader expectations near the seasonal normal rather than outlier warmth or cooler post-frontal air. Final resolution will hinge on the 18 UTC observations and any late-model adjustments overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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