Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19 likely near 14°C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and lack of a strong cold front. This setup moderates radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions, keeping overnight lows in the 13–16°C range across ensembles. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 10°C-or-below, 14°C, and 20°C-or-higher because small shifts in timing of cloud arrival or wind direction could easily push the minimum a degree or two either way. Historical September minima average near 10–12°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal, supporting the balanced market positioning ahead of final overnight observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
17°C 39%
12℃ 38%
13℃ 30%
10℃以下 27%
10℃以下
27%
11℃
17%
12℃
38%
13℃
30%
14℃
26%
15°C
27%
16℃
22%
17°C
39%
18℃
17%
19°C
13%
20℃以上
-
17°C 39%
12℃ 38%
13℃ 30%
10℃以下 27%
10℃以下
27%
11℃
17%
12℃
38%
13℃
30%
14℃
26%
15°C
27%
16℃
22%
17°C
39%
18℃
17%
19°C
13%
20℃以上
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19 likely near 14°C, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and lack of a strong cold front. This setup moderates radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions, keeping overnight lows in the 13–16°C range across ensembles. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 10°C-or-below, 14°C, and 20°C-or-higher because small shifts in timing of cloud arrival or wind direction could easily push the minimum a degree or two either way. Historical September minima average near 10–12°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal, supporting the balanced market positioning ahead of final overnight observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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