Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
9月19日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25℃ 53%
26°C以上 29%
24℃ 17%
23℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
4%
24℃
17%
25℃
53%
26°C以上
29%
25℃ 53%
26°C以上 29%
24℃ 17%
23℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$143 Vol.
1%
22℃
$519 Vol.
2%
23℃
$157 Vol.
4%
24℃
$565 Vol.
17%
25℃
$1,106 Vol.
53%
26°C以上
$520 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$3,170終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,170終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime high near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 51% implied probability. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy-season conditions—moderate peak temperatures, while recent September observations show daily maxima clustered between 22–27°C. Model consensus favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies but notes afternoon convection could trim the high by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places the September average high near 23–24°C, so traders appear to weigh the slightly above-normal forecast against resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely drive the next shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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