Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 90s for Austin on September 21, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts converge on 96–98 °F highs, consistent with late-September climatology when average maxima hover near 90 °F but current conditions support slight above-normal warmth without strong frontal passage or significant cloud cover. Heat-index values may reach 105–108 °F, though actual air temperature resolution hinges on afternoon clearing and any late-day convection. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on September 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月21日のオースティンの最高気温は？
96〜97°F 38%
98～99°F 37%
100～101°F 11%
94〜95°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
1%
92～93°F
2%
94〜95°F
10%
96〜97°F
38%
98～99°F
37%
100～101°F
11%
102〜103°F
9%
104～105°F
1%
106～107°F
1%
108°F以上
<1%
96〜97°F 38%
98～99°F 37%
100～101°F 11%
94〜95°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
89°F以下
$111 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$41 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$127 Vol.
2%
94〜95°F
$0 Vol.
10%
96〜97°F
$152 Vol.
38%
98～99°F
$228 Vol.
37%
100～101°F
$105 Vol.
11%
102〜103°F
$0 Vol.
9%
104～105°F
$5 Vol.
1%
106～107°F
$77 Vol.
1%
108°F以上
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 90s for Austin on September 21, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts converge on 96–98 °F highs, consistent with late-September climatology when average maxima hover near 90 °F but current conditions support slight above-normal warmth without strong frontal passage or significant cloud cover. Heat-index values may reach 105–108 °F, though actual air temperature resolution hinges on afternoon clearing and any late-day convection. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on September 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$957終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 90s for Austin on September 21, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts converge on 96–98 °F highs, consistent with late-September climatology when average maxima hover near 90 °F but current conditions support slight above-normal warmth without strong frontal passage or significant cloud cover. Heat-index values may reach 105–108 °F, though actual air temperature resolution hinges on afternoon clearing and any late-day convection. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on September 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$957終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 90s for Austin on September 21, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts converge on 96–98 °F highs, consistent with late-September climatology when average maxima hover near 90 °F but current conditions support slight above-normal warmth without strong frontal passage or significant cloud cover. Heat-index values may reach 105–108 °F, though actual air temperature resolution hinges on afternoon clearing and any late-day convection. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on September 21 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問