Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のパリの最高気温は？
9月20日のパリの最高気温は？
24℃ 43%
23℃ 30%
25℃ 16%
22℃ 9%
新規
$10,092 Vol.
新規
$10,092 Vol.
2026/09/20
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
9%
23℃
30%
24℃
43%
25℃
16%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
24℃ 43%
23℃ 30%
25℃ 16%
22℃ 9%
新規
$10,092 Vol.
新規
$10,092 Vol.
2026/09/20
20℃以下
$268 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$61 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$3,785 Vol.
9%
23℃
$1,473 Vol.
30%
24℃
$958 Vol.
43%
25℃
$1,244 Vol.
16%
26°C
$561 Vol.
4%
27°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$100 Vol.
<1%
30°C以上
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$10,092終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,092終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France and major models such as GFS indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus supports the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow and historical late-September averages hover around 20–22°C. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the current guidance ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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