**Approaching cold front and shifting winds create the main uncertainty for Buenos Aires' overnight low on September 20.** Current northerly flow and mild conditions support lows near 14–15°C, consistent with spring climatology, while model runs diverge on the timing and strength of a southwest wind shift that could advect cooler air and enhance radiative cooling under clearer skies. Thunderstorm chances and variable cloud cover may limit nocturnal temperature drops, yet any earlier or stronger frontal passage risks pushing readings toward 10°C or below. Traders price the 20°C+ and 10°C-or-lower brackets nearly equally because forecast guidance shows comparable probabilities for either a mild or notably cooler minimum, with resolution hinging on the precise arrival of the change in air mass.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
10℃以下 83%
20°C以上 83%
11°C 38%
15℃ 38%
10℃以下
83%
11°C
38%
12℃
24%
13℃
23%
14℃
23%
15℃
38%
16°C
38%
17℃
17%
18℃
13%
19℃
13%
20°C以上
83%
10℃以下 83%
20°C以上 83%
11°C 38%
15℃ 38%
10℃以下
83%
11°C
38%
12℃
24%
13℃
23%
14℃
23%
15℃
38%
16°C
38%
17℃
17%
18℃
13%
19℃
13%
20°C以上
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Approaching cold front and shifting winds create the main uncertainty for Buenos Aires' overnight low on September 20.** Current northerly flow and mild conditions support lows near 14–15°C, consistent with spring climatology, while model runs diverge on the timing and strength of a southwest wind shift that could advect cooler air and enhance radiative cooling under clearer skies. Thunderstorm chances and variable cloud cover may limit nocturnal temperature drops, yet any earlier or stronger frontal passage risks pushing readings toward 10°C or below. Traders price the 20°C+ and 10°C-or-lower brackets nearly equally because forecast guidance shows comparable probabilities for either a mild or notably cooler minimum, with resolution hinging on the precise arrival of the change in air mass.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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