The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のミラノの最高気温は？
9月19日のミラノの最高気温は？
26℃ 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
21℃ <1%
$43,417 Vol.
$43,417 Vol.
2026/09/19
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
26℃ 100.0%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
21℃ <1%
$43,417 Vol.
$43,417 Vol.
2026/09/19
19℃以下
$125 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$135 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$135 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$2,623 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$1,290 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$3,816 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$8,424 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$8,909 Vol.
はい
27℃
$7,665 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$7,059 Vol.
いいえ
29℃以上
$3,236 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$43,417終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$43,417終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The market-implied probability of 100% for a 26°C high in Milan on September 19 reflects the latest observational data and short-range forecast consensus from meteorological agencies, including surface measurements and model runs confirming peak temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features daily maxima near 24–27°C, with minimal variability once diurnal heating patterns and boundary-layer mixing are established. Traders have aligned on this outcome because resolution depends on official recorded highs rather than projections, and current readings show no deviation toward thresholds that would favor adjacent bins. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated mesoscale feature, such as rapid advection of cooler air or measurement anomalies at the primary station, though such shifts become improbable as the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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