Cloud cover and scattered rain expected across Wuhan on September 22 are the main drivers behind trader positioning, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum near 24–26°C. Persistent northerly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping peaks below seasonal norms of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 23°C and 27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. The closely matched market probabilities for 23–25°C reflect traders weighting these dynamical factors and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の武漢の最高気温は?
23℃ 26%
25℃ 21%
24℃ 21%
26℃ 16%
21℃以下
3%
22℃
11%
23℃
26%
24℃
21%
25℃
21%
26℃
16%
27℃
11%
28℃
8%
29℃
5%
30℃
2%
31°C以上
2%
23℃ 26%
25℃ 21%
24℃ 21%
26℃ 16%
21℃以下
3%
22℃
11%
23℃
26%
24℃
21%
25℃
21%
26℃
16%
27℃
11%
28℃
8%
29℃
5%
30℃
2%
31°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Cloud cover and scattered rain expected across Wuhan on September 22 are the main drivers behind trader positioning, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum near 24–26°C. Persistent northerly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating by reducing solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, keeping peaks below seasonal norms of 27–29°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 23°C and 27°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. The closely matched market probabilities for 23–25°C reflect traders weighting these dynamical factors and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問